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Will Apple move all of its products to its own chip architecture?

Think the iPad mini is the most important tablet Apple has released this year? There’s certainly plenty of evidence to sup­port that belief. Its size, weight and form have hit a sweet spot that balances comfort with usefulness. The price appears to have deterred very few, and early reviews, including have been enthusiastic.

There’s another new iPad that’s every bit as important for Apple’s future, however. One that, while given stage time at Apple’s launch event, almost slipped out unnoticed amid the excitement of the mini release. The iPad 4 (I refuse to call it ‘iPad with Retina display’) arrived barely six months after its predecessor. Why so soon? Some commentators assumed it was an admission from Apple that the iPad 3 was a lackluster release that had failed to offer enough to tempt new custom­ers or those seeking to upgrade an original iPad or iPad 2. Sales figures for July-September seem to corroborate that. Fourteen million units sound impressive, but that’s fewer than analysts had expected. Yet speak to anyone who has used one for any length of time and you won’t hear a word said against it.

iPad 4

iPad 4

The real answer, I believe, lies in the benchmark tests that have been run on the iPad 4 since its release. They show that while the iPad 2 and iPad 3 made incremental performance improvements on their predecessors, the iPad 4 is more than twice as fast. Both the CPU and GPU in the iPad 4’s A6X system on a chip (SoC) blow previous iPads out of the water. Apple had the A6X, a modification of the A6 chip in the iPhone 5, ready to go. It simply couldn’t sit on it and allow Samsung and others to render it ordinary.

Talking of Samsung, the A6X, a dual-core SoC, scores marginally worse in benchmarks than the quad-core Exynos 4 used in the Galaxy Note 10.2 ‘phablet’. Take out the tests opti­mized for multiple cores, however, and the A6X is comfortably faster, meaning that for most real-world tasks, the iPad 4 is more powerful. If Apple had stuck to its annual iPad refresh, the A6X would have lain unused for six months and this competitive advantage would have been eroded.

The performance of the A6X is testament to how far Apple has come in the very short time it’s been making its own SoCs. In a few short years, it’s caught up with and overtaken Samsung, a company that has been developing its own chips for a great deal longer. Apple now has one of the best teams in the business when it comes to designing the low-power, high-performance SoCs needed in today’s smartphones and tablets, thanks to its acquisitions of Instrinsity and PA Semi, and some astute recruitment. The question now is how will it use that expertise in the future?

A6X chip

A6X chip

There have been rumors in the past about Apple pro­ducing a MacBook Air running on an ARM-based SoC, but there was little to suggest it was something the company was seriously considering. Now, however, with the recruitment of Jim Mergard from Samsung and the establishment of Bob Mansfield’s Technology division, the landscape has changed considerably. US business magazine Bloomberg ran a story earlier this month in which it claimed Apple was ‘said to be exploring a move away from Intel.’ It cited ‘people familiar with the company’s research’, but the story didn’t contain a direct quote from anyone with any knowledge of Apple’s plans. Nor did it provide any real evidence that Apple was planning a switch from Intel. Nevertheless, the possibility of a Mac running on an ARM-based Apple SoC looks less remote now than it did at the beginning of the year.

There are multiple hurdles to be overcome, of course, and they may not all prove surmountable. But the first of them was cleared at the end of last month, when ARM announced the A-53 and A-57 processor cores, complete with support for 64-bit computing, which is necessary to run the 64-bit OS X.

The second obstacle is raw power. While Intel’s x86 archi­tecture focuses on performance at the expense of power consumption, ARM’s cores do the opposite. For mobile devices and small laptops, that’s great. It’s less good for the Mac Pro. Would Apple transition to ARM-based chips for part of its Mac range while leaving its pro machines on Intel? That seems unlikely. In order to persuade software developers to make the necessary changes to their code, it might have to sell it as an all- or-nothing deal. Where would that leave the Mac Pro?

Where would that leave the Mac Pro?

Where would that leave the Mac Pro?

Then there’s OS X. While iOS is based on the same kernel as OS X, it’s very different in use. Would a transition to ARM cores mean iOS running on a Mac? Or would Apple attempt to produce a hybrid of its two operating systems, as Microsoft has done with Windows 8? I suspect one of the first jobs of Mansfield’s Technology division will be to answer those questions and many more like them. While they’re doing it, expect to hear much more about the possibility of Apple shifting towards its own chip architecture. If nothing else, it will be a useful tool for bargaining with Intel and pushing it to produce better low-power chips of its own. iPad running on Intel, anyone?

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